Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2013/iii/paper-39/5/b/solution

A unit zero-coupon bond pays one at its maturity, so . Monotonicity in maturity gives . Using the state-price density representation with ,
The process is positive and integrable, as noted in part (a), and adapted. Thus it is a supermartingale. Strictly decreasing maturity prices yield a strict one-step conditional inequality; weak decrease is already enough for the conclusion.

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