Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/ib/paper-1/7h/i/solution

For an estimator with finite second moment, its bias and mean squared error are
Write . On squaring and taking expectations, the cross term vanishes. This proves the bias-variance decomposition of mean squared error:
For the sample mean, independence gives , . Thus has bias . Unbiasedness throughout the parameter family requires
At the single parameter value , all these estimators are zero almost surely; that special value does not change the requirement of unbiasedness for all .

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