Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-26/2/1/solution

The conditional expectation is a -measurable integrable random variable such that
It is defined up to almost sure equality. Measurability with respect to the sub-sigma-algebra and equality of these integrals are both essential: the first expresses that only the information in is retained, and the second preserves all averages visible through that information. Existence follows from the Radon-Nikodym theorem; uniqueness is up to sets of probability zero.

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