Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-38/3/d/solution

Use the same affine drift cancellation with terminal conditions , . It gives , , so
The process is bounded, which justifies the conditional expectation identity. The Bayes formula for conditional expectation for the forward measure now gives
The denominator is positive; the ratio lies in and equals at maturity. This is the forward-measure terminal rate in a linear bond model.

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