Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2015/iii/paper-35/3/c/solution

For the stated scale-parameterisation of the Weibull distribution, its incubation survivor function is for , with . The continuous back-calculation of infection incidence equation becomes
Set before the infection process's start if one is specified. For the equal-width endpoint approximation, integrate the incubation density over each delay bin:
Thus the discrete Weibull equation is
For unequal intervals replace by . These are probabilities, not point evaluations of a density; no additional factor of is needed after bin integration.

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