Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/ia/paper-2/12f/a/solution

Write and . The expected duration of symmetric gambler's ruin satisfies and, by conditioning on the first step,
These expected values are finite: from any interior state, consecutive right steps ensure absorption, an event of probability at least . Blocks of steps therefore bound the survival probability by a decreasing geometric sequence. The candidate has the required boundary values and satisfies . Hence
For completeness, the difference of two solutions of this linear recurrence relation has zero second difference and is affine in ; its two zero boundary values force it to vanish.

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