Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/iii/paper-206/2/c/solution

Using the smaller logistic regression, approximate pointwise Wald confidence intervals are an estimate plus or minus times its standard error:
Both intervals rely on the large-sample normal approximation and correct model assumptions. The negative slope indicates decreasing purchase probability as price rises. A one-unit price increase multiplies the odds by ; it does not subtract a fixed amount from the probability. There is no significant additional layout effect in the previous likelihood-ratio test, rather than a demonstration of no effect.
In the selected model layout B has the same prediction rule as the other layouts. At price 100 the linear predictor is . Applying the inverse logit link gives
The intercept refers to price zero; if that lies outside the observed price range, its direct substantive interpretation would require extrapolation.

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