Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/iii/paper-207/7/b/solution

Use Bayes' theorem with the individual survivor function. Writing , the frailty distribution among survivors has density
Hence
The conditional expectation starts at one and declines toward zero when . Survival favors the less frail individuals, precisely explaining why the population hazard under exponential frailty equals times a decreasing multiplier. The original PDF asks for conditioning on the event ; the TeX's misplaced inequality is a transcription error, not conditioning on an observed exact event time.

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