Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2017/iii/paper-316/3/vii/solution

For constant mean motions, consecutive mean conjunctions are separated by and advance in longitude by . To follow one of the branches, compare conjunctions steps apart. At exact resonance that advance is ; subtract it to measure the slow drift. Hence conjunction-pattern precession near a mean-motion resonance is
The printed expression is its leading small-offset term:
Positive gives retrograde drift and negative prograde drift. The tracked-branch rotation time is about ; the full set of interchangeable directions repeats after a rotation , giving the usual mean-pattern super-period . The slow, continuously tracked branch interpretation assumes the resonance neighbourhood ; merely need not give a slow pattern for an arbitrarily large integer ratio . At there is no offset-driven drift.
The allowed directions can consequently move through the observer's line of sight. Triple exoplanet transits require the and patterns, together with their timing phases, to overlap that line of sight within the finite exoplanet transit windows; differing drift rates can open and close such windows. A small offset neither guarantees a triple event nor prohibits it permanently.
Moreover, in a true mean-motion resonance, bounded can coexist with a period offset because . The mean conjunction pattern then follows apsidal precession plus the resonant-argument libration correction. For appreciable orbital eccentricity, the true-conjunction geometry has the periodic corrections identified above; the drift calculation is a mean-phase result.

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