Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2018/iii/paper-211/3/b/solution

Use the time-homogeneous Markov property and define backward effective parameters by
Conditioning the last exponential factor on replaces by . Repeating the tower property of conditional expectation combines this with the preceding exponent, then with each earlier exponent. The last remaining conditional transform is at time , so
These are finite because the one-step affine process transforms are finite at every real parameter. The argument establishes the entire joint affine transform, including when the coefficients have different signs.

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