Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2019/ii/paper-1/30k/c/iii/solution

Assume (iii). Fix and , and define
This is a stopping time: . Applying (iii) at time first to and then to the deterministic stopping time gives
Subtracting yields
By the defining characterization of conditional expectation, this says . Thus is a martingale, proving (i). Together the three implications establish the characterization of a martingale by stopped expectations.

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