Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2019/ii/paper-4/14c/a/solution

Write . In
the term represents production of healthy new plants by both healthy and diseased plants at unit per-capita rate. The term is density-dependent loss of healthy plants through competition, and is loss through mass-action infection. In
the term is the same density-dependent loss for diseased plants, while is the matching gain when healthy plants become diseased. Thus is the transmission-rate coefficient per healthy-diseased encounter.
Adding the equations cancels the infection terms and gives the logistic differential equation
The disease therefore changes how the population is divided between healthy and diseased plants but has no effect on the total-population dynamics: infected plants reproduce at the same rate, all offspring enter the healthy class, and infection causes no additional death in this model.

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