Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2019/iii/paper-207/3/2/c/solution

MAR is plausible if clinic withdrawal is driven by recorded QoL, observed side effects, treatment, and other measured history. It is doubtful if patients leave because of an unrecorded deterioration, an imminent recovery, treatment toxicity not included in the analysis, or dissatisfaction that predicts their unseen 12-month QoL. The large dropout fraction makes such missing not at random mechanisms a serious concern, so MAR should be supported by rich predictors and sensitivity analysis rather than assumed without examination.

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