Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2019/iii/paper-218/1/d/solution

For observed proportions and fitted proportions , the binomial deviance is
A second-order Taylor expansion around gives
the generalized Pearson chi-squared statistic. Under the fitted binomial model this is approximately . The observed deviance is , whose upper-tail probability is about . Since this exceeds , there is no significant evidence of overdispersion.

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