Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2019/iii/paper-218/2/b/solution

Both criteria are used for model selection. AIC estimates relative out-of-sample predictive or Kullback-Leibler risk and is attractive when prediction is the main aim. BIC approximates a log Bayes factor under regular fixed-dimensional models and is consistent for selecting a true finite-dimensional model when one is present. Their penalties differ by versus . For , BIC penalizes each additional parameter more strongly and therefore tends to select smaller models.

New to topics? Read the docs here!