Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2021/ib/paper-2/18h/b/iii/solution

Let be the expected hitting time of state . For , first-step analysis gives
With this becomes
The minimal nonnegative solution has
so
Equivalently, Kac's lemma gives . A first step from either returns immediately with probability or moves to with probability , so
Substituting gives the same result.

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