Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2021/ii/paper-1/13j/a/iii/solution

The additive model has four free coefficients: an intercept, two treatment contrasts, and one outcome contrast. The interaction model adds
treatment-by-outcome interaction term, making six parameters for six cells. It is saturated, so the residual degrees of freedom fall from two to zero and the likelihood-ratio test has
The deviance reduction is , with p-value . The analysis of deviance for nested generalized linear models therefore gives overwhelming evidence against a common outcome distribution across the three groups. The observed proportions and the negative treatment--Worse interactions show that both doses reduce the chance of worsening relative to Control, with a larger reduction for LD.

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