Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2021/ii/paper-4/5j/solution

This is Poisson regression with independent counts and log mean . The residual deviance on degrees of freedom has , and the plotted curve tracks the data, so there is no evidence of poor fit.
The fitted doubling time is days. A 95% interval for the growth coefficient is , corresponding to doubling times days. Seven days, whose rate is about , is unsupported.

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