Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2021/iii/paper-201/2/a/solution

For a finite horizon , let be the number of completed upcrossings by time . Use the predictable strategy that holds one unit of the process after a visit below until the next visit above . For a supermartingale, the expected gain of this nonnegative predictable martingale transform is nonpositive. Pathwise, the completed trades earn at least , while an unfinished final trade can lose at most . Hence
Taking expectations and using gives the Doob upcrossing inequality
As , monotone convergence yields

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