Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2022/iii/paper-204/2/c/solution

The open descendants of any vertex form a Galton-Watson process with offspring distribution . If , it dies out almost surely, so .
If , let be its survival probability. At level , each vertex begins an independent descendant subtree; the event that its edge to its parent is closed while its descendant open cluster is infinite has probability . Thus the number of such vertices at level is binomial with trials and a fixed positive success probability. For every fixed , the probability of at least successes tends to one. Their infinite clusters are separated by their closed parent edges, so for every , and hence almost surely.

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