 Solution

In an isothermal hydrostatic atmosphere, pressure falls as $P(z)=P_0{e}^{-z/H}$. If a water-band line core becomes optically thick at pressure $P_{\mathrm{line}}$ and an opaque cloud fixes the nearby continuum at $P_{\mathrm{cl}}$, the exoplanet transmission spectrum feature spansA two-scale-height feature therefore requiresTaking a representative near-infrared water-band pressure $P_{\mathrm{line}}\sim 1\mathrm{mbar}$ gives $P_{\mathrm{cl}}\sim 7\mathrm{mbar}$, so the appropriate estimate is an exoplanet cloud deck top near $10\mathrm{mbar}$. The numerical value scales directly with the assumed line-core pressure.

Other explanations include a high mean molecular weight, subsolar water abundance, a colder terminator, atmospheric haze, patchy two-limb clouds, stellar contamination, or instrumental systematics. Optical scattering slopes, broader James Webb Space Telescope molecular coverage, repeated transits, secondary-eclipse spectra, phase curves, and precise mass and radius measurements can distinguish these possibilities.