Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2023/iii/paper-201/2/a/solution

For , the Strong Markov property at the first step gives the discrete mean-value identity
At , while the same average is at most one. Thus is a bounded superharmonic function on . Conditioning on the natural filtration and using the one-step Markov property gives
Therefore is a nonnegative supermartingale.

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