Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/iii/paper-207/5/c/ii/solution

Let
and let be the common partial likelihood contribution from the first observations. Since , the three possible complete-data tail orderings and their partial likelihoods are
Their sum is
When individual is right-censored at , that individual leaves the risk set before the event at , so the directly calculated Cox partial likelihood is also . Summing over the unobserved compatible event orderings therefore reproduces the censored-data partial likelihood.

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