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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2026/iii/paper-207/3/c/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2026 iii Paper 207 3 c Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
Targeting the Neyman ratio asymptotically minimizes the standard error for a fixed total sample size, so it cannot be worse than a fixed 1:1 design when the target probabilities are known. Targeting the ethical ratio can increase the standard error because it optimizes failures rather than information, although it may still outperform 1:1 for some probabilities.
In response-adaptive randomization, the probabilities are estimated during the trial. Delayed outcomes, time trends, unstable early estimates, and random final arm sizes complicate logistics and inference; naive Wald standard errors may also ignore adaptation.
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