Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-options-i-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2009/m/m2/a/solution

For , the conditional transition probabilities are , the entries of ; for the assertion is the definition of . For the induction step, condition on the state at time and use the Markov property and time-homogeneity:
The countable sum is justified by the law of total probability; all terms are nonnegative. Thus the formula follows for every by induction. It is the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation for repeated one-step transitions.

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