Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-options-i-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2012/m/m1/b/iii/solution

Here the valid parameters lie in the irreducible aperiodic range. The finite-state theorem on convergence to an invariant distribution therefore implies convergence to the unique stationary distribution, independently of the initial state.
Solve and . The equations for states give
Hence and . Normalization gives , so
Stationarity alone would not guarantee convergence of the one-time distributions; irreducibility and aperiodicity justify that final limit.

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