Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-options-ii-for-mathematics-and-philosophy-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2013/n2/e/i/solution

Count the original infected person first. Conditional on their producing new infections, each of the new people initiates an independent descendant family with the same law as the original total. If denotes that family size, the branching property gives
The family variables are mutually independent and independent of . At the sum is empty and equals zero, so the total is one. This is the total progeny decomposition of a Galton-Watson process.

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