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ID: past-exam-of-the-philosophy-of-science-supplementary-subject-of-the-university-of-oxford/2019/5/a/solution
Past exam of the philosophy of science supplementary subject of the University of Oxford 2019 5 a Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
There are useful distinctions between science and pseudoscience, but one simple property of an isolated sentence is unlikely to classify every historical practice correctly. The relevant assessment should examine both empirical commitments and how a programme responds to evidence.
Falsifiability is a valuable starting point. A claim that excludes no possible observational outcome cannot receive the same kind of empirical support as one that risks failure. A prediction made before an experiment, with conditions and tolerances specified, is more informative than a story adjusted afterwards to fit any result. This distinguishes taking an empirical risk from merely finding a favourable description of what happened.[ref]
Science: Conjectures and Refutations by Karl Popper. chapter 1 excerpt: risky predictions and avoidance of refutation
However, falsifiability is neither sufficient for being good science nor identical to having evidence. An arbitrary precise prediction can be falsifiable and poorly motivated. A well-supported theory can also encounter an apparent failure caused by an auxiliary hypothesis about calibration or initial conditions. The Duhem problem explains why sensible investigators sometimes repair an apparatus model rather than immediately discard a theory. It does not justify repairs chosen solely to prevent every conceivable adverse result.
A more informative comparison asks whether revisions produce independently testable predictions, whether controls address plausible errors, whether unfavourable results are recorded and whether others can reproduce the procedures. An adjustment can be scientifically productive if it connects a former discrepancy with new phenomena. The same algebraic adjustment is much less impressive if it does nothing beyond reproducing the data used to choose it. Scientific reproducibility helps make a research practice corrigible, although reproducibility alone cannot establish that its interpretation is correct.
Historical judgement also requires separating an immature proposal from a practice organized to evade criticism. A new mechanism may initially lack a precise experimental test. Its current weakness is a reason to qualify confidence, not proof that no further development can make it scientific. Conversely, technical vocabulary and numerical output do not make a programme scientific when its central claims remain insulated from evidence.
The demarcation should therefore be explained through concrete features of inquiry: identifiable hypotheses, discriminating tests, calibration, treatment of alternatives and accountable revision. Different features can matter differently across observational, experimental and historical sciences. Borderline cases do not erase clear failures, just as the absence of a sharp temperature boundary between warm and cold does not make all temperatures equal.
This approach also keeps the conclusion proportionate. Calling a practice scientific does not guarantee truth, ethical acceptability or practical usefulness. Calling it pseudoscientific should identify the evidential or methodological failure, rather than replace the argument with a label.
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