Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-physics-of-the-earth-as-a-planet-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2012/paper-1/2/c/solution

For a general assumed speed ratio ,
When , each station estimates by . Averaging gives
The individual estimates have sample standard deviation and range to . If station clock errors are independent with zero mean, the standard error of their mean is . Thus one may quote as a conditional one-standard-error mean, with about scatter for an individual station. The problem does not bound a common clock bias: adding the same offset to every clock shifts this inferred origin time by that offset without changing any time difference. Therefore no unconditional absolute-time accuracy follows from the supplied data.
The speed-ratio check is an origin-time and speed-ratio regression of on . It gives
where the uncertainty is a residual-based standard error of slope. The factor-two hypothesis predicts slope , about standard errors from the fitted value: the ratio 2 is satisfactory at the accuracy allowed by these clocks, but is not precisely verified. Formally , with a local propagated standard error about . This inference assumes clock errors have no systematic dependence on station position or time difference. With completely unrestricted station offsets, a regression cannot identify at all.
Let . The difference curve determines , , and , regardless of the particular value assigned to . Changing the ratio to while refitting the individual speeds gives
Hence
The conditional standard error of this new mean is . Its predicted slope is also compatible with the regression. Holding one speed fixed while changing would alter the depth, but that adds a constraint not present in this question: here both speeds are inferred from the same difference data and chosen ratio.

New to topics? Read the docs here!