Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2008/m/5/a/solution

Condition on the intermediate state at time . The Markov property and time homogeneity give
These nonnegative sums are valid on a countable state space. Starting from , , induction gives . Conditioning on the initial state now yields . If , induction gives for every , so all one-time distributions equal the stationary initial distribution.

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