Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-statistics-and-options-ii-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2010/o/o5/a/solution
Past exam of the Probability, statistics and options II course of the University of Oxford 2010 O O5 a Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-31
For a rejection function , its power is . A test has level at most if ; its size is that supremum. In a simple null the significance probability is just the rejection probability under that null.
For two simple hypotheses with joint sample densities , the Neyman–Pearson lemma states that a test rejecting where , accepting where , and randomizing if necessary on equality to have size , is most powerful among level- tests. Let be that test and any competitor. Pointwise,Integration givessince , the first test has size , and the other has size at most . This proves the claimed power bound, allowing null-density-zero regions as well. Equality implies agreement away from the likelihood-ratio boundary, up to null sets, when the inequalities are strict.
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