Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-short-options-paper-shared-by-parts-a-and-b-of-the-physics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2019/s25/3/d/solution

With and , the marginal damage is . Integrating the constant and linear terms gives
The prefactor is in the corresponding dollar–temperature–time units. For the historical scenario with and , the bracket is , so . For , , giving global dollars per tonne. Restricting impacts to ten per cent gives .
The factor of about 107 reduction comes from both the higher discount rate and the geographical restriction; it is not a change in climate physics. The administration descriptions are those of the 2019 question, not claims about present policy. With a net discount rate of only one per cent, a century-scale horizon contributes substantially, making the linear warming and exponential income extrapolations consequential assumptions.

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