Holding emissions at
E00=8.069GtCyr−1 gives
equilibrium concentrationC∞=C0+b0b1E00≃682.43ppmv.
For
time t since 2000,
C(t)=C∞+(C00−C∞)e−t/(200yr).
It increases monotonically on the same 200-
year timescale and reaches about
654.07ppmv in 2500. The limiting, and hence peak asymptotic, warming is
ΔTpeak⟶3log2(682.43/279)≃3.87K.
In 2500 the equilibrium warming is about
3.69K, still below that
asymptote.
A stable thermal adjustment much faster than the
carbon timescale follows this slow approach with
a short lag and has the same limiting warming. These are
predictions of the specified linear reservoir
model, not
a claim that constant real emissions produce
a finite universal atmospheric equilibrium.