Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-short-options-paper-shared-by-prelims-and-parts-a-and-b-of-the-physics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2012/s9/1/4/solution

Implied volatility is the volatility parameter that makes a specified option-pricing model reproduce an observed option price. For a call, it solves
For positive time to expiry and positive asset and strike prices, the Black-Scholes call price increases with , so an interior arbitrage-consistent price gives a unique finite positive value. It is an inverse model parameter, not the sample standard deviation of past returns or a guaranteed forecast of future realised volatility. Different implied volatilities across strikes or maturities form smiles or surfaces, signalling that one constant volatility does not fit all prices simultaneously.

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