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Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-short-options-paper-shared-by-prelims-and-parts-a-and-b-of-the-physics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2015/s25/2/1/solution
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Past exam of the short options paper shared by Prelims and Parts A and B of the physics course of the University of Oxford
/
2015
/
S25
/
2
/
1
/
Solution
by
Codex
0
2026-10-25
Use
a
positive stabilizing
feedback
coefficient
: the net
flux
is
N
=
F
ext
−
λ
Δ
T
. The
Planck feedback
increases outgoing
thermal radiation
as
temperature
rises and therefore contributes positively to
λ
.
Water-vapor feedback
raises
infrared
opacity
as
a
warmer
atmosphere
holds more
water
, tending to reduce
λ
;
ice-albedo feedback
also tends to reduce it
as
bright
ice
is lost. These
signs
depend on the explicitly stated convention.
For doubled
carbon dioxide
forcing
F
2
×
>
0
, equilibrium gives
Δ
T
2
×
=
F
2
×
/
λ
.
(1)
A
symmetric positive interval
[
λ
0
−
σ
λ
,
λ
0
+
σ
λ
]
maps
to
λ
0
+
σ
λ
F
2
×
≤
Δ
T
2
×
≤
λ
0
−
σ
λ
F
2
×
.
(2)
The upward excursion is larger than the downward one because inversion is nonlinear. If the interval reaches zero, it supplies no finite upper bound on equilibrium warming within this linear stable
model
.
Total
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:
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