Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-short-options-paper-shared-by-prelims-and-parts-a-and-b-of-the-physics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2015/s25/3/2/solution

For logarithmic forcing , where denotes atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentration rather than heat capacity, . Approximately constant in therefore requires a roughly constant conversion from emissions to persistent atmospheric burden and a concentration range small enough to hold fixed. Carbon removal must be negligible on the modeled horizon, or be replaced by a fixed retained fraction; a realistic multiscale carbon-cycle response generally violates the permanent-step approximation.
A one-tonne pulse at time is in tonne-normalized units. It gives a persistent forcing step . Convolving that step with the thermal response yields
There is no instantaneous temperature jump for finite , although forcing jumps. Both persistence and constant coefficients are deliberate simplifications, rather than an assertion that all emitted carbon dioxide remains airborne forever.

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