Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 iii Paper 210 4 Solution 2026-09-28
The total variation distance and Kullback-Leibler divergence arewith the divergence when is not absolutely continuous with respect to .
One squared-loss form of Assouad's lemma is as follows. Suppose is an Assouad hypercube such thatand every pair of neighboring vertices satisfies . ThenTo prove it, decode from a nearest hypercube vertex. The separation condition converts estimation loss into a constant multiple of its Hamming error. Average this error under the uniform prior on and sum coordinatewise. For each coordinate, the two equally weighted mixtures with that bit equal to zero or one have total variation at most by convexity. The minimum average error of any binary test is , which gives the displayed bound after the nearest-vertex factor.
We now build such a hypercube inside the monotone cone. Let and . Divide the first coordinates into consecutive blocks. For , set on block and extend the remaining coordinates at the last level. If are sufficiently small universal constants, every signal is nondecreasing and belongs to .
Neighboring vertices differ by on one block, so their squared Euclidean separation is . Their product experiments differ only on that block and haveBy Pinsker's inequality, choosing small makes every neighboring total variation distance at most, say, .
Apply Assouad's lemma with normalized squared loss . Here , and henceThis proves the lower half of the minimax rate for isotonic sequence estimation.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 210 4 Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
One form of Assouad's lemma is as follows. Let be a statistical experiment and suppose parameters satisfyIf adjacent vertices of the hypercube satisfythen every estimator obeysup to the inessential convention-dependent universal constant.
Construct a hypercube inside the convex cone. Start from . Partition most of into consecutive blocks of grid intervals. On block , let be the chord joining the two endpoint values of minus inside the block, and zero outside. For , setReplacing a convex arc by its chord leaves a convex, nondecreasing function. Its values remain in , so every belongs to , and hence also to the larger parameter set in the first claim.
The perturbations have disjoint supports. For neighboring hypercube vertices their squared Euclidean separation is independent of the block and, using the supplied sum, satisfiesThe observations have identity covariance, so the Kullback-Leibler divergence between normal distributions for neighboring vertices is . Choosewith a sufficiently small universal . Then is bounded above by a small constant and below by another positive constant for all sufficiently large . Pinsker's inequality makes every neighboring total-variation distance at most some fixed .