Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 32 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
A one-period self-financing strategy is a deterministic holdings vector , with initial cost and terminal wealth . In the zero-initial-cost convention, an arbitrage satisfiesThe convention allowing a nonpositive initial cost is equivalent here: invest any initial proceeds in the strictly positive numéraire to obtain a zero-cost portfolio with nonnegative terminal wealth.
Suppose a strictly positive state-price density satisfies the asset-pricing equations, with the indicated products integrable. By linearity,For an arbitrage, the right-hand side is zero while the left-hand side is strictly positive, since the integrand is nonnegative and is positive with positive probability. This contradiction proves absence of arbitrage.
An attainable European contingent claim is a terminal random payoff for which some holdings vector satisfies almost surely; its replication cost is . To prove uniqueness in a complete market, suppose is another positive state-price density. For every event , attainability gives a portfolio replicating . Its initial cost has both representations, soThe signed random variable here is integrable, because . Take to be the event where it is positive and then where it is negative. Both its positive and negative parts have expectation zero, and hence vanish almost surely. Since ,This proves that complete markets have unique state-price densities without requiring an extra lower bound on the random terminal numéraire.
For the finite-state example, order the states from top to bottom in the diagram and write the density values as . The two pricing equations areAdding gives . Put ; substitution then givesThese are all the strictly positive solutions, and each satisfies both equations. The parameter is a state-price-density value, not a probability.
For a concrete unattainable contingent claim, take the payoff vector . A replicating portfolio would have to satisfy and in the first and third states. These imply , contradicting the required payoff one in the middle state. Thus the market is an incomplete market, despite having strictly positive state-price densities.