Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2003 iii Paper 32 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
For the Brownian first-passage time to a line, set and choose , so . The Exponential martingale for Brownian motion , stopped at , obeysThe optional stopping theorem at the bounded time gives expectation one. The contribution from is at most , and tends to zero. Taking therefore yieldsLetting shows that the hitting probability is one for and for ; in the latter case the hitting-time law has mass at infinity.
To derive the finite-time linear-boundary Brownian first-passage distribution, put . This is Brownian motion with drift , and the event is . For driftless Brownian motion, the Brownian reflection principle says that the joint endpoint density on this event equals the normal density when and the reflected density when , where . The constant-drift change of measure weights these densities by . Thus the crossing probability isCompleting the square gives respectively and . Substituting provesThe density weighting follows directly from the Exponential martingale for Brownian motion, or the Girsanov theorem, on the fixed finite horizon; it does not require eventual hitting.
For the barrier digital call, under the risk-neutral measure in the Black-Scholes model,Assume , put and . The upper stock barrier is reached exactly when reaches . The payment is at the fixed maturity , not at the random hitting time. Hence its price isIf , use the deterministic path instead: the value is if that path reaches by , and zero otherwise. The nondegenerate formula concerns the usual positive-volatility model.