Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 32 7 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Write , with , and a finite . The competing risks model with transient surgical mortality has survival functionIntegrating the disease cause-specific hazard against this survival function givesThe first term accounts for disease deaths while both causes act; the second includes survivors of that period who then face only disease mortality. The probability of eventually dying from surgery isTaking the limit in gives , and thereforeThe ultimate-death conclusion uses the positive continuing disease hazard. If , the surviving fraction would instead live indefinitely in this model; the asserted conclusion is not valid in that boundary case.