A nonnegative mean-reverting short-rate diffusion with positive parameters. Its mean-reversion level is and its diffusion size is proportional to . The Feller positivity condition for the CIR model controls whether zero is reachable. Its stationary law is a gamma distribution and its zero-coupon bond prices are exponential-affine.
For , the Itô formula applied to gives the displayed dynamics before hitting zero. In particular does not eliminate the reciprocal drift. The cancellation condition is . Under that condition can be represented as the square of a signed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with drift and volatility ; its principal square root is the reflected process , not an unrestricted signed OU process. The mean of is for all admissible positive parameters.
For the CIR model under its money-market risk-neutral measure, the Feynman-Kac formula gives and , with , . Solving this Riccati equation gives explicit exponential-affine zero-coupon bond prices. The positive root parameter is ; the squared diffusion coefficient, not the volatility itself, enters this expression.
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The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model is a mathematical model used to describe the dynamics of interest rates. It is part of the class of affine term structure models and is particularly known for its ability to capture the behavior of interest rates in a way that ensures non-negative rates. The CIR model was introduced by economists David Cox, Jonathan Ingersoll, and Stephen Ross in the early 1980s.