An additional
tonne changes eventual
temperature by approximately
δT=κ. Linearizing the damage
function gives
δL(t′)=κγD0W(t′)T(t′)γ−1. Put
s=t′−t,
W(t+s)=W(t)egs, and hold
T approximately fixed across the effective discount horizon. The
discounted integral is
S(t)≃κγD0W(t)T(t)γ−1∫0∞e−(r−g)sds,
so
S(t)≃r−gκγD0W(t)T(t)γ−1,r>g.
If
r≤g, this infinite-horizon
approximation diverges;
a finite result then needs different growth, damages or
discounting assumptions. It also treats the marginal warming from the extra
tonne as effectively persistent over the relevant horizon.