The density of individuals at age evolves by transport with unit ageing speed and loss rate . New individuals enter at age zero through the integral birth boundary. Exponential separated profiles lead to the Euler-Lotka equation.
Net reproduction rate 2026-10-06
The mean lifetime number of offspring is the birth rate integrated against the probability of surviving to each age. For a continuous age model it is . The Euler-Lotka equation compares this with one to locate positive population growth.
Substitution of the separated exponential profile into the age-structured population equation gives . Therefore
For , the birth boundary condition cancels and becomes the Euler-Lotka equation
The survival probability to age is for constant death rate. Hence the expected lifetime offspring count, or net reproduction rate, is
The Gamma integral evaluates the Euler-Lotka equation as , requiring . Its real solution and profile are
Thus , and gives positive growth. The profile is a nonzero formal separated solution for all positive ; a finite total population additionally requires , equivalently . A decaying-in-time mode need not have an integrable age profile.
Substitution into the renewal boundary condition and cancellation of gives the Euler-Lotka equation
This is the necessary condition selecting the growth exponent .
If incidence grows exponentially, , substitution in the infectious disease renewal equation gives the discrete Euler-Lotka equation
For on , . The finite geometric series therefore yields
and consequently