Let and measure Lionel's fortune in unit stakes. This is gambler's ruin: the fortune moves by with probability and with probability , stopping at or . Let be the expected value of the absorption time starting at . It is finite: from any interior state, a run of wins or losses has a fixed positive probability of absorption within steps, giving a geometric bound on survival over successive blocks. First-step analysis therefore gives
For , the homogeneous solution of the recurrence is , and a particular solution is . Put . Imposing the two endpoint boundary conditions gives the expected duration of biased gambler's ruin
Consequently the expected number of games is
The denominator and numerator have matching signs, so this is positive. As a check its continuous limit at is , the expected duration of symmetric gambler's ruin.