Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ii Paper 1 29J c Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The model factors into the normal distribution densitiesand, conditionally on ,Ignoring constants independent of , the log likelihood isIts score isIn terms of the independent innovations,Variance additivity for independent random variables therefore yields
Since , the equality holds for all exactly whennamely whenThus the information tensorizes only in the independent case.
Finally, the Cramer-Rao bound gives every unbiased estimator the lower boundThis is the Fisher information in a stationary Gaussian autoregressive location model.