Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 30 1 ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Under the diagonal covariance restriction, the profile log-likelihood separates into terms,Differentiating each term gives the restricted maximum-likelihood estimator . Both fitted trace terms equal , so the likelihood-ratio test statistic iswhere is the sample correlation matrix. The statistic is nonnegative by the Hadamard inequality; large values indicate dependence. Equivalently, the likelihood ratio is and rejection is for small values of this ratio.
For fixed and a positive-definite true covariance, the Wilks theorem says that twice the maximized log-likelihood difference for nested regular models converges under the null to a chi-squared distribution with degrees of freedom equal to the dimension difference. The unrestricted covariance has parameters and the restricted covariance has ; the unknown mean has the same parameters in both. Therefore the Gaussian covariance diagonality likelihood-ratio test of asymptotic level isWithin the multivariate normal distribution, diagonal covariance also means independent coordinates.