Infectious disease renewal equation Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-11-05
The infectious disease renewal equation expresses current incidence as a convolution of past incidence with an infectivity profile, multiplied by a time-varying transmission level.
Infectivity profile Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-11-05
An infectivity profile describes how an infected individual's transmission rate varies with infection age.
Assume the infectivity profile is separable:
Then is the discretized generation-interval distribution, is the instantaneous reproduction number, and the infectious disease renewal equation becomes
Hence whenever the total infectiousness is positive.