Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 207 1 d Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
Couple the Wald test statistics as , where the joint centered bivariate normal distribution of is fixed. Increasing either enlarges, pointwise in this coupling, the event . Its probability is consequently nondecreasing in each treatment effect.
If both null hypotheses hold, then , so this probability is maximal at the joint boundary . To check the familywise error rate across all configurations, suppose only hypothesis is true. A Type I error then occurs only if , with probability at most , where is the standard normal distribution function. This is no larger than the any-rejection probability at , since that joint event contains . If neither null hypothesis is true, the familywise error rate is zero. Hence the least-favourable null configuration for Type I error iswhere is the centered bivariate normal distribution function with correlation coefficient .