Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 202 1 b Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
For fixed , define the left-limit sigma-algebra by . The section at of a generating rectangle of the predictable sigma-algebra is when , and empty otherwise. In the first case . Sections of the time-zero generators are empty for .
The collection of subsets of sample-time space whose section at belongs to is a sigma-algebra: sections commute with complements and countable unions. It therefore contains all of . Apply this to for every Borel set . Thus predictable sections at deterministic times satisfyAt the same argument gives -measurability, using the convention . The PDF asks for information strictly before ; the TeX aid drops the minus sign.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 iii Paper 202 2 f Solution 2026-09-28
Let be a nonconstant Bernoulli random variable, let be trivial for , and let for . This is a right-continuous filtration after completion. The processis adapted and càdlàg. If it were predictable, its value at the deterministic time would be measurable with respect to the left-limit sigma-algebra , which is trivial. That contradicts the choice of , so is not predictable.
Predictable sections at deterministic times Created 2026-10-06 Updated 2026-10-14
For a predictable process and deterministic , is measurable for the left-limit sigma-algebra . This follows by taking sections of the generating predictable rectangles. At time zero use .