Local supermartingale 2026-10-07
A local supermartingale becomes a supermartingale after stopping along an increasing sequence of stopping times tending to infinity. Localization allows an Itô formula comparison before global integrability is established. Additional lower bounds or uniform integrability are needed to pass from the local comparison to an unrestricted expectation inequality.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2013 iii Paper 40 3 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Available portfolio wealth and the ruin boundary. Put , the constant interest payment on the fixed loan. The loan principal is already included in available portfolio wealth; it is not a growing portfolio holding. ThereforeIn particular the interest outflow is , not . Writing would instead give net portfolio wealth drift , which explains the distinction.
Let denote the ruin time, to avoid confusing it with a fixed terminal horizon. The objective stops at ; consequently the absorbing boundary is , without an obligation to keep financing the loan after ruin. Dynamic programming gives, for ,For increasing strictly concave value, put and use inverse marginal utility . The optimal controls and the optimized HJB equation arewhere . For CRRA utility with , write and . Then
Dualization and the printed constant. Use the convex wealth-variable Legendre dualAt an interior maximizing portfolio wealth, , and . The dual HJB equation is the linear Euler differential equationA trial power givesDirect substitution givesThe PDF prints an additional factor before in its definition of . That printed definition is inconsistent with its own identity for . The expression above is the one used here; assume this corrected .
Solution when . Assume positive discount , nonzero , and . Let and be the two roots of :Since , . Put . For , the general interior solution isThe appropriate large-wealth condition is the Merton consumption-investment problem boundIndeed any original control consumes in the debt-free comparison model until ruin, and . Dualizing this bound gives . Because , convexity and this upper bound force as .
At the other endpoint portfolio wealth reaches zero. If , the dual ruin boundary with debt service requiresSolving these two equations givesFor , , and for , , so the quantity defining is positive in either case. These formulas determine the entire value. For each , choose the unique satisfyingThenBoth terms in the bracket are positive, even when and . Thus , decreases from infinity to zero as increases, and the portfolio wealth inversion really is unique. The extended dual is continuously differentiable and convex.
There is no additional condition . In factAvailable portfolio wealth is killed at zero; the portfolio can have a nonzero limiting volatility immediately before ruin. Imposing a reflecting-boundary or zero-curvature condition would solve a different problem.
For , the linear forcing resonates with the root . Put . The dual and boundary constants instead areExtend by zero for . Hereand the controls remain and , with .
Verification and transversality. The candidate is nonnegative, increasing, strictly concave and zero at ruin. Its HJB equation makes the discounted value plus accrued utility a local supermartingale for every admissible control, and a local martingale for the stated feedback. Localization at positive lower and finite upper portfolio wealth levels gives the finite-horizon comparison. The investment value transversality condition follows from the same debt-free bound: applying the Itô formula to and maximizing its risky term givesThe nonnegative consumption and debt-service drifts only decrease this bound. Thus the expected terminal candidate tends to zero. The feedback has at most linear growth, including a finite limit as portfolio wealth decreases to zero; stopping it at ruin gives an admissible policy. Letting localization levels and then the horizon tend to their limits proves that the candidate is the value, rather than just a formal dual solution. If , the absorbing-debt boundary disappears and the ordinary Merton consumption-investment problem formula is recovered.
Zero market price of risk. With and , the dual equation is first order. If , the preceding formulas remain valid with for , and the logarithmic formula with for ; there is no term and . The same boundary and transversality argument verifies this deterministic consumption policy.
The remaining finite-value case has and . Put , andThe correct convex dual and its corresponding value areThe two value branches have the same value and derivative at . Above , hold no stock and consume ; the surplus over grows at rate . If , the lower branch is attained by zero stock holding and constant consumption : portfolio wealth solves until ruin, and direct integration gives .
If and , the lower branch is a supremum attained in a limit of increasingly rapid fair stock lotteries between zero and , followed by the upper-branch policy on success. The success probability tends to and the fixed service cost during the lottery tends to zero. This is possible because unrestricted dollar holdings in the nonzero-volatility stock produce a fair Brownian motion exposure even when its excess drift is zero. The supporting linear branch has optimized waiting residual ; the fast lotteries, rather than a finite feedback optimizer, supply the missing control limit. The piecewise candidate is concave, has nonpositive waiting residual everywhere, and the preceding moment bound still supplies an upper-bound verification. This degenerate case can have a supremum without an ordinary maximizing strategy.